OIL MARKET CRISES AND THEIR IMPACT ON INDIA’S MARKET: INFLATION AND MONETARY POLICY RESPONSES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29121/ShodhPrabandhan.v3.i1.2026.137Keywords:
Oil, India, Inflation, Monetary Policy, Rbi, Current Account Deficit, Exchange RateAbstract
Oil market crises are among the important outside shocks that affect the Indian economy. Because India buys the majority of the oil it needs problems in global production conflicts between countries rules that stop trade problems with moving oil around and big changes in how much oil people want can greatly affect prices in the country and the overall economy. An oil price problem affects India in connected ways: how much it pays for oil the difference between what it sends abroad and what it gets the value of the rupee the cost of fuel and moving things the cost of food the money the government has how well companies do and how much people can buy. Inflation is the result but the effects might go beyond that to things like the economy growing, investing, the financial world and how money rules work. This article looks at how oil market problems affect India with a focus on inflation and how the Reserve Bank of India and the government respond. It says that money rules can stop some inflation from growing and stop people from thinking inflation will keep going. They can't fix a problem where oil isn't available. So managing the problem well needs help from money, money, energy and dealing with money problems. The article ends by saying that India should use money rules and also have oil reserves get oil from different places have clear rules for taxes on fuel make better public transport invest in clean energy and have better ways for different groups to work together.
References
Government of India. (2026). Notification Retaining the 4 Per Cent CPI Inflation Target with a 2-6 per Cent Tolerance band for 2026-2031.
Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations. (2022). The Fiscal Cost of Holding Down Fuel Prices in India after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
International Monetary Fund. (2025). India: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for India. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229002899.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229002899.002
National Institute of Public Finance and Policy. (2012). Oil Price Shock, Pass-Through Policy and its Impact on India.
Reserve Bank of India. (2025). Press Release: Macroeconomic Implications of Crude-Oil Price Increases.
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